AID NEWSLETTER > DIESELS
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DIESEL
SALES | EUROPE
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AID DATA
As bad as it gets for Europe’s diesel car market?
Latest data, compiled by AID every month, suggests that West Europe’s badly hammered diesel car market, while still weak, is no longer deteriorating at the speed seen during last year
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DIESEL
SALES | EUROPE
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AID DATA Diesel cars out of favour, but have we seen the worst of the plunge?
That is the overriding question on the minds of autoindustry strategists after digesting the very latest statistical news on the current state of West Europe’s previously market-dominating diesel car June’s diesel car market in Western Europe, providing yet another revealing piece in the jigsaw, suggests that for the time being at least, the previously plummeting sales share of diesels now appears to have settled down to a more moderate rate of decline.
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FUEL
MIX | GERMANY Petrol powered cars make further sharp inroads at expense of sinking diesels
For AID’s perplexed market observers today’s question is not so much whether Germany’s previously long-flourishing domestic market for cutting-edge diesel cars will fade into obscurity, but how soon.
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DIESEL
SALES | EUROPE
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AID DATA Heaviest shelling of already badly damaged diesel bunkers appears to be undergoing a lull at present
Although it is not a trend that has changed the diesel car market’s underlying downward trajectory, April’s diesel car sales figures, led by a couple of major markets, suggest nevertheless that during the second half of this year the underlying rate of decline from diesel cars could be slowing
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DIESEL
TECHNOLOGY
Bosch NOx breakthrough said capable of saving diesel car future
Bosch, one of the world’s leading manufacturers of diesel engine components and widely recognised as the premier authority on light-duty diesel engine technology, says it has made a genuine breakthrough in terms of neutralizing diesel engine emissions by drastically reducing vexed NOx emissions from diesel cars to a mere fraction of the permitted post 2020 levels in EU Europe
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CO2
EMISSIONS | GERMANY
Germany’s average April CO2 emissions from cars rise to 130.4g/km
The actual percentage change in the average CO2 emission from cars in Germany this April may still look tiny, but the 1.6 per cent increase against the same month last year to 130.4 g/km is likely seen by car makers with dismay
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DIESEL
SALES | EUROPE
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AID DATA
Headlong plunge in diesel car sales continues
Whichever way latest AID compiled West European car sales numbers are
analysed, underlying demand for diesel powered cars is now falling a great deal faster than even pessimists would have projected only a year ago
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DIESEL
SALES | UK
Free fall in UK diesel car sales continued in March The UK’s previously flourishing market for diesel cars, tormented by rapid fire flak from virtually all directions, now looks a mere shadow of its former self. Judged on the sector’s most recent progress, the damage endured this March alone tempts the view that the UK’s progressively limp diesel car sales balloon remains on course to crash down to earth sooner rather than later
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DIESEL
SALES | EUROPE
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AID DATA
January’s diesel car sales share in Western Europe sinks below 40% - 16-year low
Most market observers saw Europe’s underlying diesel car sales trend as bad, but few anticipated how bad it would get. Diesel car sales plunged 11.6 per cent in Western Europe last month compared with the month a year ago in a fresh sign of the segment’s deterioration as it hurtles down the slippery slope far faster than earlier feared. In consequence, the sector’s double-digit dive in January’s otherwise expanding new car market sharply reduced the region’s diesel car sales share to 39.8 per cent
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DIESEL
SALES | EUROPE
Europe’s Diesel car sales share slumps to 14 year low
Europe’s diesel car market was expected to have a difficult year because the spreading toxic cloud from the Volkswagen generated dieselgate scandal simply refused to blow away. However, few observers predicted that the sales share of diesel-fuelled cars would fall so far so fast. According to AID’s own figures that’s a steep 5.3 percentage point plunge to just 44.5 per cent during the whole of last year. That’s West Europe’s lowest full year level since 2003 when the diesel car penetration reached 43.7 per cent
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W.
EUROPE
| DIESEL
Europe’s November diesel car market slips into deeper decline
Yet another sharp drop in November’s West European diesel car sales threatens to derail the autoindustry’s obligatory efforts to comply with the EU’s tough 95g/km fleet average levels by 2021. That was the sobering message from AID’s monthly report of European car sales trends which suggests that Europe’s new car buyers are now dumping their discredited diesel cars far faster than earlier anticipated.
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GERMANY
| DIESEL
Diesel scrappage incentives drive Germany’s rush-back to petrol fuelled cars
Although Germany’s 2017 domestic car sales fortunes ended on a high, with last year’s total sales rising 2.7 per cent to 3.55m units, diesel car sales went off a cliff. A sign of underlying consumer car buying trends, Germany’s December diesel car sales plunged by nearly a quarter (-24.1%), cutting Germany’s full year diesel car sales share to just 38.8 per cent. Aside from statistically distorted 2009, that’s Germany’s way and ahead lowest annual diesel car sales share for 14 years. The reasons for the sudden wholesale dumping of diesel-fuelled cars are not terribly difficult to identify
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EUROPE
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DIESELS
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AID DATA
Europe’s diesel car sales slump runs into October
Hard evidence, if any were needed, that West Europe’s badly rocked diesel car market is heading into only one direction – downwards – comes with latest October car sales data. But a true measure of the collapse in regional diesel car demand and a sign that for diesels things are getting progressively worse, October’s diesel car sales share took a headlong 7.3 percentage point plunge to 42.1 per cent from 49.4 per cent during the same month last year
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EUROPE
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DIESELS
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AID DATA
Diesel storms prompt consumer longings for petrol safe haven
AID compiled car sales statistics reveal that in much of Western Europe demand for new diesel cars is continuing the seemingly inexorable slide down the slippery slope.
During this year’s July to September third quarter, West Europe’s diesel car sales share had slipped to 43.5 per
cent
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EUROPE
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DIESELS
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AID DATA
Talk of city diesel ban sparks rush for the exit
AID compiled data reveals that fast fading interest in diesel powered cars has cut West Europe’s diesel car sales share to just 42.8 per cent in August. This marks the way and ahead lowest monthly turnout since the VW scandal broke in September 2015
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GERMANY
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DIESELS
Germany’s August diesel car share slumps to lowest level for decade and a half
Germany’s shrinking diesel car sales share in August, giving a foretaste of what could be in store for the remaining months of this year, slumped to just 37.7 per cent according to latest KBA data.
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EUROPE
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DIESELS
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AID DATA
Diesel car market pauses after losing sales share for 18 months running
Is this a temporary blip or the first sign of a slowing deterioration in European diesel car sales? That is the question facing market observers, who are wondering whether Europe’s badly battered diesel car market is simply drawing breath after the expected and continuing steep loss of earlier held market share since the VW diesel scandal first broke with devastating effect in September 2015
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EUROPE
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DIESELS
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AID DATA
Consumers’ eroding confidence in diesels
Europe’s diesel car market appears to be in a seemingly uncontrollable tailspin. At half-time, West Europe’s fast-ebbing diesel car sales share slumped to 46.1 per cent. A new 14-year low point if statistically distorted 2009
(scrappage incentive) is ignored. This June, testament to the latest state of play, West Europe’s diesel car sales share dropped to 45.2 per cent, a steep 4.4 percentage point loss in the past twelve months alone
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EUROPE
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DIESELS
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AID EXCLUSIVE
Europe's diesel car sales share hits lowest level since start of diesel emissions scandal
West Europe’s diesel car market was expected to have a difficult year because of the unrelenting anti-diesel campaign in the popular press. With seemingly non-stop flak-fire aimed at diesels it hardly comes as a surprise that growing numbers of Europe’s confused and increasingly anxious diesel car users, when changing their car, are reverting back to the comparative security of petrol powered cars
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FRANCE
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DIESELS
French car buyers switch back to petrol in droves, diesel share slips to near two-decade low
The severity of
France’s steep and sustained downturn in underlying diesel car demand
was driven home once more in May when sales of diesel powered cars
didn't just fall but plunge. Nearly halfway through the year, and at a
time when the sales share of diesels took a headlong dive to a near
two-decade low of just 47.7 per cent, the five months car sales share of
petrol-fuelled cars soared to 47.5 per cent according to CCFA data
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EUROPE
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DIESELS
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AID EXCLUSIVE
Europe’s slowing diesel pulse rate, April slightly better than feared
Kindling hopes of a break in the relentless downward trend in European diesel car sales, AID compiled figures show a slight slowing in April’s rate of decline, but AID observers believe that April’s slightly slower rate of underlying diesel demand deterioration may not last
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FULL ARTICLE
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EDITORIAL Diesels: are German deserters switching to Toyota hybrids? "The feature of yesterday's March car sales statistics for Germany which must give European carmakers serious pause for thought relates to the sudden unparalleled change in the type of car wanted by King buyer. No, it is not the on-going Crossover car buying spree. That too, as has been the case for months, remains a hot issue. But hotter still, signs are that growing numbers of Germany’s new car buyers are now beginning to drop all earlier thoughts of buying a diesel-powered
car" |
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EUROPE
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DIESELS
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AID EXCLUSIVE
Anti-diesel campaign continues to take its toll
So far so good, diesel desertions among Europe’s new car buyers remain little worse than a steady trickle, but the question now foremost on the minds of leading diesel industry members is if and when today’s rate of desertion will change from a trickle into a flood
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EUROPE
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DIESELS
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AID EXCLUSIVE
Europe’s diesel car market is continuing to crumble
Fading demand for diesel powered cars, likely fuelled in large part by an intensifying drumbeat of anti-diesel media reporting and insinuations of forthcoming discriminatory measures specifically aimed against diesel cars like inner city driving bans, have evidently sunk their teeth into a segment that until recently still accounted for just over half of West Europe’s new car sales |
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EUROPE
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DIESELS
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AID EXCLUSIVE
Diesels at the Crossroads 49.5% 2016 West European diesel share
AID’s exclusively compiled data reveals that
less than half the new cars sold in Western Europe last year – (49.5%) - were powered by diesels, worst turnout since 2009 |
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USA
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DIESELS
End is near – final hammer blow in VW’s US Dieselgate affair
Volkswagen US Dieselgate settlements – expectation of near imminent “Guilty Plea” linked to binding agreement to pay $4.3bn US criminal and civil fines – VW said “the payment obligations are expected to lead to a financial expense that exceeds the current
provisions
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EUROPE
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DIESELS
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AID EXCLUSIVE Europe’s diesel car market just keeps deteriorating
Figures compiled by AID show that this year’s global prestige sector car market, a highly profitable sector that Mercedes, BMW and Audi have almost made their own, remains on course for yet another all-time global sales record. |
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EUROPE
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DIESELS
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AID EXCLUSIVE
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EUROPE
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DIESELS
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AID EXCLUSIVE
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WESTERN
EUROPE
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DIESELS
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AID EXCLUSIVE
First the soothing news for an otherwise anxious diesel car industry. It may still be a slow turning tide. But just as a small stone can potentially trigger a dangerous rock slide, European consumers’ initially slow switch from today’s badly tainted diesels back to the comparative safety of petrol-fuelled cars could quickly pick up speed. This is the latest underlying message from AID’s exclusive latest take on Europe’s underlying diesel car sales trends
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SOUTH
KOREA
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AID EXCLUSIVE
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GERMANY
Whichever way latest German car sales statistics are
analysed, the continuing media firestorm sparked by the dieselgate affair appears to have had a pronounced negative impact on Volkswagen’s domestic sales.
Foreseeably, it now looks as if notable numbers of Germany’s diesel car buyers are now giving Volkswagen’s badly tainted diesels a miss. Four months into this year, with Germany’s diesel car sales rising 3.2 per cent, Volkswagen own diesel car sales lurched into reverse; down by a steep 8 per cent |
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WESTERN
EUROPE
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DIESELS
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AID EXCLUSIVE It begins slowly, as these things do. Thanks in large part to Volkswagen’s highly toxic diesel emission scandal, deeply damaging press coverage continuous to ooze out of Europe’s badly hit diesel car sales scene like a menacing black oil slick. And before you know it, an initially slow-turning tide away from badly tarred diesels threatens to evolve into a torrent of change. |
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GERMANY
The toxic fallout from Volkswagen’s diesel scandal, providing a seemingly endless flow of juicy material for the world’s still spellbound media, also turned into a gift for main competitors and a hammer blow for Europe’s leading car brand |
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WESTERN
EUROPE
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DIESELS
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AID EXCLUSIVE
Whichever way January’s car sales figures are worked, Europe’s previously high-flying diesel car balloon may not have burst, but AID’s latest data points nonetheless to a continuous, albeit slow loss of altitude
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WESTERN
EUROPE
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DIESELS Adverse publicity from Volkswagen’s diesel
exhaust emissions scandal may have generated a blizzard of barbed media coverage in Europe
and elsewhere, but Europe’s new car buyers still appear largely unfazed by the issue. In spite of
widespread condemnation, so far the toxic issue has fallen on deaf ears in much of Europe and
the region’s money-wise car buying public has continued to pile into the diesel car market as if
the potentially deeply damaging dieselgate affair never happened
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WESTERN
EUROPE
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DIESELS The European-wide sharp weakening in
underlying diesel car demand that many carmakers’ feared only a couple of months ago,
has not yet happened
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DIESELS |
EXCLUSIVE In spite of some market fears that Europe’s long flourishing diesel car market could be heading for a severe downturn after the fallout from Volkswagen’s emissions scandal, AID’s exclusively compiled provisional diesel car sales data for October shows that consumers’ underlying demand for today’s tainted fuel-sippers has remained fairly
unscathed
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DIESELS |
AID EXCLUSIVE Against a background of uproar in both the popular and financial media and siren warnings of a potentially crippling body blow for diesel powered cars, AID’s latest health check suggests that it may still be too early to write the obituary of the diesel car market in Europe
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Volkswagen
- Hundreds of thousands of confused would-be buyers of VW Group diesels in Europe could now turn to supposedly untainted clean diesels from rival manufacturers
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