AID NEWSLETTER > BRIC
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LIGHT
VEHICLE SALES | RUSSIA World Cup puts strong kick into Russia’s new car spending
For those patiently waiting for the inevitable rebound from Russia’s previously slump-struck car market, car sales data for the five months to May brings great comfort. Little doubt, the same goes to Russia’s political leadership. That’s because this summer Russia plays host to this year’s closely watched football world cup. Russia’s previously underrated football team, contrary to expectation, is already leading its group after two straight wins in a row
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CAR
SALES | TURKEY Resilience of Turkey’s car market defies expectations
At least until now, the Turkish car market made a habit of defying even the most pessimistic predictions. That’s doubly underlined by a far milder and only short-lived downturn in fateful 2017 and three successive monthly car sales gains in this year’s four months to April. Already one third through the year, with cumulative sales of 177,420 units, Turkey’s new car sales remain 2 per cent up on the same time last year
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WORLD | BRIC
Return to business as usual, China main driver
BRICs car markets back to previously familiar good form – Europe and USA, again left behind in the dust
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TRADE | CHINA
China cuts duty on imported cars to 15%
China’s decision to counter threats of a potentially deeply damaging trade war with the US has ostensibly sparked a surprise Chinese move to cut its import tariff for fully assembled cars from 25% to 15% from July 1 this year
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WORLD
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Q3 CAR SALES |
AID DATA
Global car sales dynamo slowing
The global car market’s seemingly inexorable march to higher and yet higher annual sales, which stumbled only briefly during this past financial crisis, remains on course for yet another year of growth. However, if AID’s latest pulse-sensing at the nine months stage is any guide, this year’s global car sales growth will be little more than half of last year’s level
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TURKEY
| CAR MARKET ANALYSIS
Turkey’s car market standing up to fallout from last year’s failed coup shock
With just over a third of a million new cars sold in the seven months to July this year, today’s new car market in Turkey is about the same size as the combined sales in both Belgium and Luxembourg. But that’s where the similarities end. Unlike Belgium, a mature car market, Turkey - with a population of almost 80m – is expected to see significant further growth in future car sales.
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BRAZIL
Brazil’s limp car sales balloon ready to rise?
After a 2-year car sales slump, Brazil’s car market is showing
unmistakeable signs of trying to bounce back, according to latest
Fenabrave numbers. But with the gathering signs of a gradual return to
normality, the emerging competitive landscape has changed a great deal
and now bears little or no resemblance to the cosy vehicle sales
oligopoly operating happily in Brazil for decades. The giants of
Brazil’s car market, which have long enjoyed the fruits of their largely
uncontested historical pole positions in this market, are now taking it
on the chin
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INDIA
Maruti-Suzuki – display of massive marketing muscle power
Whichever way India’s car market is looked at, this, by common consent is a market with huge future sales potential, but at the same time though, it is certainly not a market for the fain hearted. That’s graphically illustrated by GM’s unexpected sudden decision to stop selling its cars in India from the end of this year. AID’s investigation reveals that
Maruti-Suzuki, already the unchallenged King on India’s roads, is continuing to flex its mighty marketing muscles to prevent lesser rivals from winning a larger slice of this promising market
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POLAND | NEW CAR SALES
Poland’s car market off to a flying start
The annual market for new cars in Poland stands out as the biggest in Eastern Europe. Moreover, three months through the current year, Poland has also emerged as one of Europe’s fastest growing car markets. A sign of the times, Poland’s new car sales during this year’s first quarter rose by a strong 20.3 per cent to 125,932 units, following an equally lively 26 per cent jump this March
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WORLD
Springtime cheer from latest European car sales figures
Figures released this week by AID show that West Europe’s new car market, unlike the cooling car markets of the US and even China, has lost little or no steam during the opening three months of this year. In consequence, West Europe’s car market still stands out as the main driver of this year’s global car sales growth
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BRIC
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RUSSIA
Russian car sales spring in the air
Widely tipped to become one of Europe’s biggest car markets, and after
terrifying autoindustry members by its reluctance to escape the
lingering car sales slump that had gripped the country for the past four
years, Russia’s long endured economic winter chill may be about to give
way to warmer spring sunshine. Those with a high locally manufactured
content, chiefly Lada, but also to an extent Hyundai-Kia and Volkswagen,
were the most notable sales gainers during this year’s opening two
months. Toyota and Nissan, so far this year, were two of the biggest
losers. The same goes for Germany’s prestige car brands
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WORLD
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AID EXCLUSIVE
China, the US and Western Europe live up to autoindustry’s ‘pillars of strength’ reputation
Testament to their long-standing reputation as the autoindustry’s genuine powerhouse markets, last year’s combined new car sales in the still vibrant main markets of China, the US and Western Europe alone reached a record 54.3m cars, thus accounting for around eight-in-ten of last year’s global new car sales |
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BRIC
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BRAZIL
Lingering gloom as Brazil’s car sales continue to plummet
Latin America’s biggest car market, still seen as a car sales dynamo during the heydays of the BRIC market era, first came to a screeching halt in 2014 and sales have continued to spiral downwards ever since. Judged from latest car sales data, and already ten months through the current year, there is little prospect of a quick turnaround, keeping this year’s frail-looking Brazilian car market on course for the lowest annual car sales in a
decade |
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BRIC
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RUSSIA
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TURKEY
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AID EXCLUSIVE
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WORLD
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AID EXCLUSIVE
Almost a decade after the global financial crisis, and the subsequent car sales slump in key car sales regions such as Europe and the USA, the once fanciful idea of a quick return to car market normalisation may not have happened. However, and somewhat later than earlier expected, at long last global new car sales appear to have re-joined the market’s long-term intrinsic upward trajectory |
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INDIA
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AID EXCLUSIVE
Reacting to a challenge that few thought was attainable
- an attractively styled - volume produced Crossover priced well below €4,000
- Renault almost overnight moved the price/value bar in ultra-low-price India to stunning new
heights. |
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RUSSIA The anaemic state of Russia’s economy was highlighted earlier this month by full year 2015 figures pointing to the continuing sharp deterioration of the country’s car market, where sales have not fallen but plummeted. Last year, Russia’s car sales slumped by just over a third to just 1.48m units, little more than half the annual sales levels still seen as recently as 2012 when sales peaked at 2.72m units
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BRAZIL AID EXCLUSIVE |
Korean model tops half year best sellers'
list in Brazil
If one word could sum up Brazil’s current car market it
would probably be change. That’s driven home most forcefully by news that Brazil’s front-runner at this
year’s halfway point was neither a Fiat, Volkswagen or GM product. That’s the first time in living memory
that a car not born and bread by Brazil’s long-ruling oligopoly headed the country’s top sellers’
league
> Crystal ball gazers looking at Indonesia’s future car market like what they see
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Lada now outsold at home by trendbucking
Hyundai-Kia
The day that both Russia’s political thinkers and Lada’s French masters have now been dreading for years has arrived: Formerly state-controlled Lada, that traditionally generated the bulk of its revenues and profits in its domestic Russian market, is now being outsold by a foreign western carmaker.
> Indonesia’s future car market - Future outlook looking promising
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Russia’s new car sales
falling like a stone
Russia’s slump-struck car market has rarely looked in worse shape, and the outlook for the rest of this year looks no less dismal. Today’s consensus view among auto industry analysts points to a severe drop of between 30 and 40 per cent at best, thanks to the worst underlying rate of decline seen in recent memory
> India
- Nissan/Datsun - Cannibalisation could be a worry
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INDIA AID EXCLUSIVE |
Nissan/Datsun - Cannibalisation could be a worry |
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INDONESIA AID EXCLUSIVE |
Indonesia’s future car market
- Future outlook looking promising |
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Brazil’s move from fast Samba to sobering austerity blues |
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BRIC AID EXCLUSIVE |
Just one remaining BRIC pillar |
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Brazil’s car sales chill persists - leaders face up to stiff new
competition |
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Slip, sliding away - Domestic Lada |
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Taste of
Nano? |
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Russia slips deeper into hibernation |
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BRAZIL |
From Samba to slow waltz Brazil’s car demand beaten back by slowing economy > First wobble in BRIC pillars of strength |
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INDIA |
Troubled Tata falls back to earth India’s own Tata, biggest domestic casualty of the turmoil by far |
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INDIA |
India’s car sales just keep tumbling January car sales fell 7.6 per cent marking the 14th fall in the past 15 months |
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RUSSIA |
Russia’s previously speeding car sales locomotive stopped in
tracks During the whole of last year Russia’s new car sales fell 5.1 per cent to 2.6 million units |
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RUSSIA |
Chill
breeze still sweeps through Russia’s car market Wobble in consumer confidence, but Russia’s rich are still spending |
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RUSSIA |
Ford
throttles back Russian production |
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CHINA |
China’s
car sales look easy Summertime and China’s car sales look easy - Japan Blues persist |
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CHINA |
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INDIA |
Datsun
resurrected |
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INDIA |
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RUSSIA |
Chill
grips Russia’s car market May sees 4th fall in a row |
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